Newsroom & Financials

Global Commodity Oversupply and Industry Consolidation to Reshape US Grain and Farm Supply Industries

Posted 12/8/2016

A confluence of market factors will dramatically reshape the U.S. grain and farm supply industries between 2017 – 19, according to new report from CoBank. Continued low commodity prices, increased foreign competition and the strong U.S. dollar will stress U.S. crop and animal supply chains leading to more industry consolidation, which will introduce the next phase in the evolution of the agricultural industry.

Prices across the crops sector will continue to remain low as a result of a significant global oversupply. While low commodity prices are also boosting consumption and overall global demand, strong production will continue to outpace demand over the next three years, barring a severe weather event in a major agricultural producing country. 

“The U.S. grain and farm supply industries have reached another historic inflection point that will be good news for some and bad news for others,” said Tanner Ehmke, CoBank senior economist and author of the new report. “The co-ops that thrive through this cycle will be those that offer innovative products and services to their farmer customers, are earnest and unrelenting in controlling costs, are properly aligned in the industry chain, and focused on risk management. These co-ops ultimately end up well positioned as the industry realigns.” Read more...

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